Asylee Crime in Austria (Statistics Inside)

[PureSodiumDiet]

Hi everyone!

I speak German fluently and a few weeks ago the Austrian government released a crime report on Asylum Seeker crime in 2016. I have decided to translate this report in a somewhat abridged form (lumping together fraud, assault, and drug crimes) because I felt this information needs to be available in English. Some key points:

Austria's Population is 8 500 000 (roughly).
2016 saw 270 160 suspects identified.
2016 saw 22 289 asylee perpetrators.
2015 saw 250 618 suspects identified.
Asylee population in Austria is roughly 150 000 to 200 000 (this is without question an overestimate, so bear in mind that most numbers below are optimistic).

This means that:

Roughly 9% of all 2016 suspects were asylees.
Roughly 11% of all asylees are perpetrators.

At 200K of 8500K, they are 2.4% of the population committing 9% of the crime.

Asylee age groups 14-20 and 24-39 account for about 8200 perpetrators each, for a total of 16546 in those two groups (roughly 3/4s of the total).

Noteworthy are that 299 perpetrators are in age groups 0-13. Another 3894 populate 21-24 and the final 1550 in 40+ years old.

Unsurprisingly the Austrian capital and metropolis Vienna contains 9441 of these perpetrators.

StGB is the abbreviation for "Strafgesetzbuch", or the Austrian criminal code.

The "big 5" perpetrator groups, plus 2 bonus groups

Afghanistan at 5072 perpetrators
Algeria at 2999
Morocco at 2219
Nigeria at 2137
Syria at 1549

Russia at 1223
Iraq at 1153

These 7 nationalities comprise 16352 of the perpetrators, or 73% of the total.

In the attached image of an Excel spreadsheet, I picked out some of the most important crimes, listed their paragraph in the StGB, the English name of the crime, the Austria total 2015, the asylee specific statistic, a percentage for each crime of how much the asylees are responsible for to quantify their impact on these crimes (working under the assumption that there is no change in Austrian crime volume 2015 -> 2016, of course this isn't the case, but in May we will have better answers), a per capita statistic of the Austria total population, and a per capita statistic for the 200k asylees as well as a column comparing per capita crime (of 22k asylees per capita over 8.5 mn Austrians) and finally a column where the asylee crime stats are doubled (the assumption here is that 2016 asylee population was 100 000 instead of 200 000, thus the doubling).

Unfortunately an Austrian crime statistic for 2016 hasn't been published, judging by the previous years this will probably come in May of this year. I am comparing asylee crime 2016 with Austrian total crime 2015. How accurate is this comparison?

Well, 2016 didn't see particularly many new arrivals, in addition I don't know what "accepted asylum seekers" are kept as statistically (probably as Austrians rather than asylum seekers since they aren't seeking anymore), so maybe there is an argument to be made for a 2016/2015 being a benchmark comparison. 2015 saw the invasion of "refugees" and I know that the Austrian asylum process is rather slow (taking 9.1 months on average to complete an asylum request), so if the bulk made requests in October then they were probably accepted all throughout 2016 making 2015 the last year where we have numbers of an Austrian criminal landscape without accepted asylum seekers making it too foggy. I will probably remedy my Excel document and statements once the full statistic 2016 hits the internet, but I don't expect any colossal changes.

Is the comparison flawed? Somewhat.
Is the information therefore useless? No.

Different demographic groups have different crime rates as we see in the US.

Again this 200k number is an assumption. If it goes down the statistics become drastically worse (as shown by the final rightmost column). If it goes up, it still has a long way to go until it "appears normal" as compared to the Austrian total.

Guiding notes:

Murder is murder, in additon to the 21 cases of "regular murder", there was one case of manslaughter.

Assault charges, our criminal code differentiates between different forms of assault, I have pointed out "regular assault" (violation of someone else's health, injury), "heavy assault" (an injury which takes longer than 24 days to heal or causes the victim to be incapable of working, all assaults on police officers count as this crime), and other assaults. "Raufhandel" is the crime of participating in a Schlägerei, it is when a bunch of people all beat eachother, I believe only the instigators/main perpetrators get the much heavier assault charges while participants get this one instead. I have lumped it in with assault charges. Omitted from Austrian 2015 assault charges were "vehicular manslaughter" since I believe not too many refugees drive cars.

Coercion charges are divided into "threats of violence" and "threats of death or torture" (Schwere Nötigung). Forced marriages are a special form of "heavy" coercion.

Property damage charges are divided into "breaking someone elses stuff" (basic charges) and the heavier category which include damaging a church, damaging graves at a cemetery, damaging a memorial site or protected site, damaging things of high scientific or cultural value. Finally this also includes property damages in excess of 5 000 €, and there is a jail sentence for property damage in excess of 300 000 €.

Theft charges:

§127 is basically shoplifting and the like.
§128 is stealing something worth more than 5 000 € or exploiting a flood or fire emergency to go steal someone else's belongings.
§129 is breaking into an enclosed space (building, warehouse, etc) and/or using a weapon to subdue a person (getting them to surrender) during the breakin 
§130 is a crime syndicate, these are groups of criminals, or using corporate means to steal things.
§131 is robbery

Sex crimes:

§201 is rape including "removing personal freedoms" from another individual and threatening the use of violence or death.
§202 is the "light version" of rape, basically sexual coercion without threats of violence or locking someone in a room.
§205 are sexually abused people who are psychologically impaired. 
§205a is marital rape.
§206 is sexual abuse of minors.
§207 covers pretty much every dimension of child pornography, production, distribution, possession, and consumption.
§218 is sexual harassment, including both harassing other people and public masturbation.

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For the Austrian crime numbers I used the "resolved investigations numbers" (Geklärte Fälle) with the exception of Murder and Rape where I subtracted attempted from total police filings made. One thing to highlight, while 133 112 theft complaints were filed in 2015, only 25 927 were resolved. The Austrian police has simply given up on resolving "petty crime". In the sex crimes section the Austrian statistic didn't differentiate §207 and §207a resulting in a 0 in that field, I assume we can take asylee sex crimes of 207 and 207a together to be 25 (which is what the excel sheet does anyway). Curiously the Austrian 2015 crime statistic did not include falsification charges §223 or §244. I assume these crimes were not perpetrated by Austrians in 2015 for purposes of this analysis based on the fact that an Austrian citizen falsifying a document isn't as bad as a foreign citizen falsifying a Syrian passport as one is to attain illicit entry into our welfare system while the other (Austrian citizen) is already plugged into our system. Unfortunately I could not locate statistics for drug dealing either as they are handled by a different set of laws (the criminal code and it's partnered statistic do not include the drug laws). 

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Sources (in German):

https://www.parlament.gv.at/PAKT/VHG/XXV/AB/AB_10993/imfname_624337.pdf
http://www.bmi.gv.at/cms/BK/publikationen/krim_statistik/2016/Web_Sicherheit_2016.pdf
http://www.bmi.gv.at/cms/BMI_Service/SIB_2015/Kriminalitaetsbericht_Statistik_2015.pdf

https://www.ris.bka.gv.at/GeltendeFassung.wxe?Abfrage=Bundesnormen&Gesetzesnummer=10002296

[Dylan Lawrence Moore]

I lived in Austria for two and a half years. Sad to see it finally succumb to the Ottomans.

Have you made this available somewhere other than these forums? This looks like an article that needs to be blasted around as many media outlets as possible.

[PureSodiumDiet]

1 hour ago, Dylan Lawrence Moore said:

Have you made this available somewhere other than these forums? This looks like an article that needs to be blasted around as many media outlets as possible.

Unfortunately not, what prompted me to compile the statistics and release them here is because Stefan has done presentations of crime statistics before on Youtube and expressed interest in Austria with his videos about the Austrian election (where unfortunately, the establishment won and the people lost). Our new president even managed to embarrass us on the world stage, wearing a suit and tie to a dinner party (with strict dresscode) he was hosting.

 

I guess I can look into dropping it in some smaller/right wing news outlets email inboxes, but I doubt it'll gain much traction (and I'm also looking to have people scrutinize the presentation of the data, all my friends whom I've shown this in person agreed that it's great and well done but still, you never know when you make a mistake).

[plato85]

What can you say after reading something like this. Luckily for us in Australia it's illegal to post statistics so we can pretend there's no problem and we can call people 'ignorant' who say otherwise.

[PureSodiumDiet]

13 hours ago, plato85 said:

Luckily for us in Australia it's illegal to post statistics so we can pretend there's no problem and we can call people 'ignorant' who say otherwise.

It's like kids putting their hands on their eyes going "I can't see you so you can't see me!!!".

I have to reiterate that I do not have racial statistics, all I have done is compared two demographic groups ("Austrian" which actually includes non-Austrian citizens committing crimes in Austria but do not have the asylee status like say a French tourist or similar, and "Asylee"). We can of course investigate both demographic groups to make out some vague racial descriptions, in the case of the asylee statistics this was simple (it came with a table of the perpetrators nationalities, of which I listed the biggest 7 groups), and in the case of the Austrian crime 2015 report, I know that in a related PDF the government listed all non-Austrian citizen criminals nationalities which included a lot of Germans (not the kind that likes pork and beer). Around half of all crime committed in Austria is committed by non-citizens.