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When will next wave of migrant crisis begin?


Crusader1986

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So the first phase of the migrant crisis has ended, or is at least subsiding. A lot of people are now talking about the next wave, saying that the worst is yet to come. Does anyone know when that will be? Here's an article which states that 8-10 million are on the way though it doesn't state when exactly it will be. Anyone have any ideas?

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/10307/europe-more-migrants

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Hmm.. on the one hand, the spring and summer season are best for migrants moving towards Central Europe. Depending on the level of incompetence and stupidity of the european 'leaders', the next round of virtue signaling might do the trick and motivate a dozen million people to get moving. The next wave should destabilize the the political and societal landscapes in Europe such, that the avalanche of decay will become unstoppable IMHO.

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Hi Crusader 1986!

What I'm saying, summarised :

"Lets not rush ahead and conclude things, while not having grasped what's going on. Furthermore, questions alike (I think) tend to 'move goalposts' and it could be argued that what's now is what's actionable compared to probable future scenarios. "

In my humble opinion it isn't helpful treating an ongoing process's fluctuations as endings/new beginnings. Perhaps defining a crisis termination as a stability or returning to the previous state could be a constructive way to start thinking about how to begin look at what a migration phenomenon is. I'm not nitpicking (I don't intend to) but aren't you forgetting that 1. consequences associated are far from having 'blumed', 2. forces behind 'pro- salad of diversity' started erasing means of metrics as soon as the first person dared to criticise the initiative = little, less info out on what's the true amplitude (warped indicators = beggars can't be choosers I know but shouldn't we be a bit more focused on dealing with what's going on right now?)

Thanks for the btw.

 

Barnsley

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