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ofd

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Everything posted by ofd

  1. ofd
    For sure. There are objective metrics to determine how good a work is. It's the ratio of true information and the length of the presentation. A mathematical formula is better than endless descriptions of a phenomenon. Those short paragraphs tell you everything you need to know about leftist movements. Compare that to the hours of output done by people like Peterson and you will realize that those paragraphs are better because they provide a better explanation with much less words.
  2. ofd
    I hate to say, but reddit is good for these kind of specialized interests. Usually they have one or two pages dedicated to even esoteric topics.
  3. ofd
    Can you be more specific? What are you interested in?
  4. ofd
    If there is a dog with rabies, you don't get angry with the dog because it is evil. You understood what caused his behaviour and you treat the dog accordingly, without venom. Your self esteem and what not is higher which might be useful when dating somebody. Reading evolutionary psychology on any topic is disenchanting it shows that what we are attracted to is (in most cases) based on simple stats (wait / hip ratio). An illusion that delivers better results than an accurate representation of the world is selected for. How do they engage in double think?
  5. ofd
    It's an useful illusion that makes it more likely for you to act in a social way by increasing the worth you ascribe to your agency. You are much more than a bundle of neurons that have come up with a decision before you are aware of it. If our understanding of the world is incorrect we will make bad decisions. In the Medieval Ages, animals were condemned by trials for committing evil acts. Today we see that as ridiculous, perhaps in the future our descendants will think the same about our understanding of human nature.
  6. ofd

    forex trading

    ofd replied to Brazilda's topic in Education

    All trade is by definiton a zero sum game. You get exactly what you pay for, nothing more, nothing less. The motivation of the parties taking part is of no interest for the fiscal side.
  7. ofd
    As Donnadogsoth and Neeeel have pointed out, you can't believe in naturals laws that determine outcomes from prior states and free will at the same. The causal chains go forward and backward with nothing in between them. If you want to find an entity that has "free will" it has to be supernatural or, in other words, a soul that is not part of the causal links but can influence the physical world.
  8. ofd
    Enjoy your ignorance as long as you can.
  9. ofd
    It's not a game I play, I summarize the most basic information to syllogisms in any textbook on the subject. What you wrote wasn't a syllogism. Look up how they are formed if you don't believe me. Even if you had been able to form your arguments in terms of syllogisms it would have been wrong in reality, because one of your premises (no difference between computability and determinism) is wrong. Statements about reality must conform to reality. If they don't they can be discarded. Statemens about the validity of logic don't depend on the reality, they are concerned about the form and structure of statements. If those don't conform to the rules of the logic you use, they are wrong. Read some basic intro to physics and logic. Then reflect and bow in shame.
  10. ofd
    The validity of the syllogism itself doesn't depend on reality, that's true. The moon consists of green cheese. This rock is from the moon. ∴ This rock is green cheese The above is a correct syllogism, because it's form (Barbara) is valid. However, it does not relate to empirical reality so it is wrong on a physical level. For syllogisms to be true both in form and in reality, the syllogism needs to follow the forms that generate truth values and the statements of the premises have to be true on an empirical level.
  11. ofd
    The problem is that you make statements about the physical world from that don't conform with what we can observe. Predictions are based on models that are simpler and more abstract than the process they model and that you can't make perfect measurements. Which is why you include a margin of error in your calculations. If you wanted to model a system you need a simulation that is as complex as the model you try to simulate. If you want to model the universe you need another universe and you have to know the initial state of the original universe.
  12. ofd
    The laws of nature are well known (more or less), you can't measure the initial state of the pendulum system well enough so that you can predict it's behaviour well into the future. The same is true for the universe where even more so you can't know the initial states to a precise degree. Hence you have the curious fact that you can't make accurate predictions into the future though the laws of nature along with the initial states determine the outcomes.
  13. ofd
    You have determined systems and yet you can't predict their future state. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_pendulum
  14. ofd
    That doesn't follow. There is a difference between predictions and determination.
  15. ofd
    It's quite interesting when you meditate that you realize that the monkey brain is only one part and that other parts of your mind function in a similar way. Enlightenment is simply acknowledging reality and acting it accordance with it. And since your mind constructs reality, getting to know its machinations plays a big role.
  16. ofd
    Consciousness is a figment of the brain to see how a simulation would react to situations without risking being in those situations and getting in danger. Somehow this simulation got access to language and now communicates with figments of other brains.
  17. ofd
    So it would be no problem to see how many orders are executed at nearly or at the price limit and how many are executed at a lower price?
  18. ofd
    Good catch, I was wrong with that. You can initiate actions that change your feelings by exposing yourself to situations you are afraid of (say being around a spider) and thus changing your response to them by noticing they are not that threatening. The approach you describe is the core insight third generation Cognitive Therapies have, by decoupling negative emotions from dysfunctional ideas. ACT or Coherence Therapy claim that they can get rid off dysfunctional by using mechanisms that are inherent to our brain. Indeed. Many cases of depressions, anxiety or nervousness are adaptation to an enviroment. Even if the enviroment changes they are kept as learned behaviour. You need an intervention to adapt to the new enviroment.
  19. ofd
    Lets take a real world example. Lets assume you are a programmer at a bank and you want to make the most profit for your institution by making use of having prior knowledge. Suppose an order comes in to buy 100 000 Tesla shares at a limit price of 420,00. The price at the moment is 419,70. How do you make the most money for your institution with that information if you can use IOCs to your advantage?
  20. ofd
    The key to getting rich in this system is to skim off a bit from each order. Small enough that it is viable, but big enough that a large volume of the skimming off makes a profit. Those would never use IOCs to raise the price
  21. ofd
    The same model of a computer may fall by that percentage in a year, but the amount of money you have to pay for a certain performance remains the same, more or less. A top tier gaming rig (or a computer for video editing) cost $2000 10 years ago and that's also what you have to pay today for it, because the gains you make in processing speed are made up by more complex software. Perhaps I wasn't clear with what I wrote. Here is a example that may help you understand. Suppose you have to pay some item that costs $100. You have that amount on your bank account and the equivalent of it in bitcoin. You can be reasonably sure that in 4 weeks, the amount in your bank account will be worth about the same, will bitcoin will have risen a bit (say to $105). Why would anyone use bitcoin as a process to pay? If all goes well, bitcoin rises in price relative to other forms of money, it will be a storage of value rather than a method of payment. Except for extreme circumstances people will prefer other methods of payments which don't rise in value compared to bitcoin.
  22. ofd
    Oh yes, I am aware of that. There is no conscious act, rather a process within a system. I am not familiar with Freud, but our cravings make sense when you put yourself in the enviroment of the stone age. Survival (eating fatty and sweet food) and procreation are the words of the day. The enviroment has since changed, but our cravings haven't adapted yet. There are fast food joints everywhere and porn is available online. I haven't read it either, but yes, it seems familiar to what Evolutionary Psychologists like Buss wrote. Desires that have been shaped by evolution work in skip logic casuistic way. Lets say you are in the stone age and you see a nice girl, Grokette. Unconsciously, and shaped by evolution, a process goes on in your mind. Does Grokette have a good body ratio? If yes, increase her attractiveness. If not, decrease it. Does flirting with Grokette pose any risk? If yes, stop it. If not, pursue. (In our case Grokette is with seven foot tall Mortar so you stop any advances right away). Yes, a lucky error for us. You don't need a single unity to unite the processes, it's only necessary when you are conscious. Consciousness may be a way to rationalize the decisions that have already been made, it may be a spokesperson that explain to yourself why you do the things that have been decided to make. My perspective has largely been shaped by Blindsight, a fantastic novel by Peter Watts, that is available for free. It deals with those questions (nature of consciousness and what not) in great detail. Robert Wright has a less grim view of the world (or more grim, depending on your perspective). In 'Why Buddhism is True', he shows that Buddhism is some sort of Evolutionary Psychology in itself, the craving it describes are the same that made us survive the stone age. Also, he shows how to circumnavigate them.
  23. ofd
    This. What I meant by that is that our brain functions (including consciousness) consist of very specific processes that only do one job. There is a process for recognizing shapes, a function for the feeling of self, one to motivate you and so on.
  24. ofd
    This is disproven by anaesthetics. Some make you unconsciousness, others leave your consciousness intact while removing only the pain perception and making you follow commands without being able to do otherwise. Like the rest of the brain, consciousness is a modular unit, with parts doing specific parts and those specific parts alone. Take one of those parts out and you will get a different result from your normal experience.
  25. ofd
    Platforms / publishers like twitter, facebook, snapchat, youtube, google and so on use existing infrastructure for their business. Creating the basic code for those companies is not the problem, anybody with a few weeks of php knowledge can set up something that looks like facebook or twitter. In fact, setting up a program that allows you to communicate with other users was part of an assignment in a popular php textbook. What sets those companies apart is that they found enough venture capital to get them running and that some (facebook and google) found a way to monetize the network. Almost all other platforms run at a loss. When it comes to those platforms, you have the Pareto principle and the Matthew effect both at work at once. As time goes on that and the difficulties to finance the network with ads leads to natural monopolies. If the biggest platform for sharing short messages or the most popular video provider don't make money then creating a competitor will be very hard to finance. Guess we'll see how conservatives / Liberatarians will react to this threat. My take is that they will cuck out and be the principled loser (muh free markets).
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